Entity

Lula

A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 26 coverage verticals, including Aging Longevity, AI Inference Infrastructure and Australia Economy.

As of 29 Oct 2026Last evidence 28 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Lula defies odds to clinch election victory over Flavio Bolsonaro in Brazil

    Reported event · first reported 24 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 · 2 claims · best-carried claim: 11 separate publishers

  • Brazil's election

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Brazil's Lula defeats Flavio Bolsonaro with 51.8% of the vote after a chaotic day at the polls

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15% - 24/7 Wall St.

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Lula’s Brazil win puts rare earths in Trump’s crosshairs

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

All 12 events and claims involving Lula

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 78 mentions on 29 Oct 2026, against 29 on 8 Oct 2026 (+169%).
  • State Last recorded change: wire tier went from watch to flagged on 26 Oct 2026 (2 changes recorded since 17 Oct 2026).
  • Claims No claim first reported since 28 Oct 2026.

How well we know this

554 documents · 103 publishers · 26% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 28 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.256: about 74% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 1 receipt withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Lula

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

BrazilTrumpLatin AmericaArgentina
  • Brazil · 535 shared documents
  • Silva · 434 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Jair Bolsonaro · 258 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Trump · 246 shared documents
  • Presidential Election · 201 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Former President · 188 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Latin America · 186 shared documents
  • Flavio Bolsonaro · 163 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Paulo · 126 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Argentina · 113 shared documents

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 78 mentions on 29 Oct 2026 with 29 on 8 Oct 2026 (+169%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +359% from 2 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026, between 3 and 138 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Lula, day by day.

Market price, cited

Not priced yet

No open prediction market prices a question materially about Lula yet. Ask about Lula

No market price on file: no prediction market prices a question about this name yet

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/e76158a91b29e57f9ed7e7cf returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name lula.

{
  "name": "lula",
  "label": "Lula",
  "asOf": "2026-10-29",
  "mentions": 78,
  "domains": 26,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/e76158a91b29e57f9ed7e7cf",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/e76158a91b29e57f9ed7e7cf",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-29T21:52:40.283342+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-17T15:52:40.940749+00:00",
    "changes": 2
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "78 mentions across 26 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "26 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 72 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Lula

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Lula defies odds to clinch election victory over Flavio Bolsonaro in Brazil

    Reported event · first reported 24 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 · 2 claims · best-carried claim: 11 separate publishers

    Show the 2 individual claims
    • Lula defies odds to clinch election victory over Flavio Bolsonaro in Brazil · corroborated · first reported 24 Oct 2026 · 11 separate publishers
    • Lula wins fourth term as Brazil president after historic upset over far-right Flávio Bolsonaro · corroborated · first reported 25 Oct 2026 · 9 separate publishers

  • Brazil's election

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Brazil's Lula defeats Flavio Bolsonaro with 51.8% of the vote after a chaotic day at the polls

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15% - 24/7 Wall St.

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Lula’s Brazil win puts rare earths in Trump’s crosshairs

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Markets Brace After Lula's Surprise Comeback Win In Brazil Elections

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • President Lula, Brazil's political titan, defies the passage of time

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • ‘Democracy always’: Lula vows no return to dictatorship in Brazil after election win

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • How André Janones Helped Turbocharge Lula’s Comeback in Brazil’s Election

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • More Lula or back to Bolsonaros? Brazil votes in cliffhanger presidential runoff

    Reported claim · first reported 25 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Brazilians vote in presidential election runoff pitting leftist Lula against far-right Bolsonaro

    Reported claim · first reported 25 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Brazil's Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro neck and neck after bitter runoff campaign

    Reported claim · first reported 23 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

Walk the record from Lula

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Lula

Entity.

Evidence
554 documents · 103 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 3 Sept 2026, last seen 28 Oct 2026
Measured
26% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
29 Oct 2026
24 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Lula, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Markets materially about Lula

Markets whose question is about Lula or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Lula and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

  • 15.5% Yes

    “Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?”

    Polymarket · priced 29 Oct 2026

    Relation: named in the question · “lula” is named in the question · closes 31 Oct 2026

  • 22% Yes

    “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?”

    Polymarket · priced 29 Oct 2026

    Relation: named in the question · “lula” is named in the question · close date not stated in the question

  • 82.5% Yes

    “Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?”

    Polymarket · priced 29 Oct 2026

    Relation: subject of the question · the question opens with “lula” · closes 31 Dec 2026

What it connects to

Related records.

Pull a thread

Recorded history

  • 26 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: watch to flagged

    Previous state held since 30 Sept 2026

  • 26 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: insufficient_history to rising

    Previous state held since 30 Sept 2026

2 changes recorded since 17 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about LulaWatch Lula

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 29 Oct 2026.