Entity

Federal Reserve

The central bank of the United States; it sets interest rates and manages the money supply.

As of 29 Oct 2026Last evidence 30 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady Ahead of Midterms. Here's What That Means for the Market.

    Reported event · first reported 26 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 · 2 claims · best-carried claim: 31 separate publishers

  • Fed Meeting October 2026: Where to watch Kevin Warsh-led FOMC interest rate decision

    Reported claim · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Following the US Federal Reserve’s lead, Arab central banks keep interest rates unchanged

    Reported claim · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Fed rate decisions

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • 5 things to watch for in this week's Federal Reserve meeting

    Reported claim · first reported 27 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

All 12 events and claims involving Federal Reserve

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 211 mentions on 29 Oct 2026, against 120 on 8 Oct 2026 (+76%).
  • State Last recorded change: wire tier went from watch to flagged on 28 Oct 2026 (8 changes recorded since 17 Oct 2026).
  • Claims 2 claims first reported since 28 Oct 2026.

How well we know this

3,636 documents · 280 publishers · 16% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 30 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.163: about 84% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 2 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Federal Reserve

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

InflationTreasuryOilAICryptoBitcoinIran
  • Interest Rates · 2,137 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • Inflation · 1,820 shared documents
  • Treasury · 1,414 shared documents
  • Oil · 1,173 shared documents
  • AI · 1,109 shared documents
  • Crypto · 984 shared documents
  • Bitcoin · 981 shared documents
  • Iran · 777 shared documents
  • Oil Prices · 772 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • CPI · 738 shared documents · no page of its own yet

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 211 mentions on 29 Oct 2026 with 120 on 8 Oct 2026 (+76%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +189% from 14 Sept 2026 to 29 Oct 2026, between 25 and 211 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Federal Reserve, day by day.

Market price, cited

Not priced yet

No open prediction market prices a question materially about Federal Reserve yet. Ask about Federal Reserve

No market price on file: no prediction market prices a question about this name yet

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/23e87a50b470be4b8c7a44e2 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name federal reserve.

{
  "name": "federal reserve",
  "label": "Federal Reserve",
  "asOf": "2026-10-29",
  "mentions": 211,
  "domains": 42,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/23e87a50b470be4b8c7a44e2",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/23e87a50b470be4b8c7a44e2",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-29T23:27:11.436223+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-17T15:52:40.940749+00:00",
    "changes": 8
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "211 mentions across 42 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "5 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 5,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "42 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 206 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Federal Reserve

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady Ahead of Midterms. Here's What That Means for the Market.

    Reported event · first reported 26 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 · 2 claims · best-carried claim: 31 separate publishers

    Show the 2 individual claims
    • Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady Ahead of Midterms. Here's What That Means for the Market. · reported by two · first reported 27 Oct 2026 · 31 separate publishers
    • Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers · could not check · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 12 separate publishers

  • Fed Meeting October 2026: Where to watch Kevin Warsh-led FOMC interest rate decision

    Reported claim · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    could not check

  • Following the US Federal Reserve’s lead, Arab central banks keep interest rates unchanged

    Reported claim · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    could not check

  • Fed rate decisions

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • 5 things to watch for in this week's Federal Reserve meeting

    Reported claim · first reported 27 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    could not check

  • Federal Reserve interest rate decision looms as inflation and gas prices impact consumers

    Reported claim · first reported 27 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 7 separate publishers

    could not check

  • Federal Reserve keeps rates unchanged despite elevated inflation, gives little signal of its next move

    Reported claim · first reported 27 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 14 separate publishers

    could not check

  • Federal appeals court strikes down the Fed’s debit card fee cap

    Reported claim · first reported 27 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Why the Fed may hold off on another rate hike despite high inflation

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    could not check

  • Many consumers face higher borrowing costs after the Fed's first interest rate hike in more than three years took place on Sept. 16, 2026. Experts warn that more rate hikes could be ahead too, given the spike in inflation. Check the link in our bio for more. 📹 by J

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Crypto Market News: What the Fed Decision could mean for Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Solana

    Reported claim · first reported 26 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Federal Reserve Interest Rate Predictions Next Week: October 27–28, 2026

    Reported claim · first reported 25 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    single source

Walk the record from Federal Reserve

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Federal Reserve

Entity.

Evidence
3,636 documents · 280 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 14 Apr 2026, last seen 30 Oct 2026
Measured
16% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
29 Oct 2026
24 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.
  • Single source: Reported by one source so far.
  • Could not check: We could not count this claim's sources, so we do not say how well it is supported.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Federal Reserve, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Markets materially about Federal Reserve

Markets whose question is about Federal Reserve or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Federal Reserve and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

No open market in the record is materially about Federal Reserve: none names it as the subject of its question or as a party in it.

3 more open markets joined to Federal Reserve but not about it
  • 33.5% Yes

    “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?”

    Polymarket · priced 29 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

  • 7.5% Yes

    “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?”

    Polymarket · priced 29 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

  • 76.5% Yes

    “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?”

    Polymarket · priced 29 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 28 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: watch to flagged

    Previous state held since 27 Oct 2026

  • 28 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: insufficient_history to rising

    Previous state held since 27 Oct 2026

  • 27 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: flagged to watch

    Previous state held since 26 Oct 2026

  • 27 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to insufficient_history

    Previous state held since 26 Oct 2026

  • 26 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: watch to flagged

    Previous state held since 18 Oct 2026

  • 26 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: insufficient_history to rising

    Previous state held since 18 Oct 2026

  • 18 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: flagged to watch

    Previous state held since 15 Oct 2026

  • 18 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to insufficient_history

    Previous state held since 15 Oct 2026

8 changes recorded since 17 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about Federal ReserveWatch Federal Reserve

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 29 Oct 2026.